Kubva pakatanga kugadzirwa kweAI muhupenyu hwezuva nezuva hwehafu yepasi, OpenAI neChatGPT zvava pachena kuti shanduko iyi yatanga.Mubatsiri wavo wekukurukura abva pakuva kuedza kwekuda kuziva kusvika pakuva chishandiso chenguva dzose chekudzidza, kuronga mapurogiramu, kunyora, kana kungogadzirisa kusava nechokwadi mumasekonzi mashoma.
Zvisinei, kubudirira kwevezvenhau ikoko hakuna kunyanya kunaka: Kuchengetedza nekuvandudza ChatGPT nguva dzose kunodhura mari yakawanda.Ongororo dzinoverengeka dzinoratidza kuti, kana pasina chinochinja, OpenAI inogona kuzviwana isina mari yakakwana panosvika gore ra2027, izvo zvakakonzera kutya kukuru muzvikamu zvetekinoroji nezvemari.
Sei paine hurukuro yekuti OpenAI inogona kushaya mari muna 2027?
Pfungwa ye OpenAI inogona kushaya mari pakati pegore ra2027 Izvi hazvibvi mumushumo mumwe chete, asi kubva mukubatanidzwa kwezvifungidziro zvakawanda uye yambiro kubva kune nyanzvi dzezvehupfumi nemakambani anopa mazano. Shoko riripo rakajeka: mwero wekushandiswa kwemari pari zvino hausi nyore kuuchengetedza, kunyangwe kune imwe yemakambani ane simba guru eAI.
OpenAI yazvimisa pakati pemakwikwi evanonzi Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)Nzvimbo iyoyo uko michina inokwanisa kuita chero basa repfungwa dzevanhu. Dambudziko nderekuti kuzadzisa chinangwa ichocho kunoda kuvaka zvivakwa zvakakura: nzvimbo dzedata dzakapararira pasi rose, kushandiswa kwesimba kwakawanda, uye gomo remachipisi epamusoro.
Kufungidzira kwakasiyana-siyana kwemukati nekunze kunoratidza kuti OpenAI inoronga kushandisa mari inosvika mabhiriyoni masere emadhora muna 2025 kungotsigira nekuwedzera mashandiro ayo, uye kuti mari yacho inogona kusvika padanho repamusoro $40.000 bhiriyoni pagore panosvika 2028Nenhamba idzodzo dziri patafura, zviri nyore kunzwisisa kuti nei vaongorori vari kutanga kutaura nezve "kudonha" kwemari.
Chimwe chezvinhu zvinonyanya kudzokororwa mumishumo iyi ndechekuti, pasinei nekuzivikanwa kweChatGPT, Kambani iyi inoramba ichishanda isina purofiti yakajeka.Kurasikirwa kwakawanda kwaizoramba kwakakwira zvikuru mumakore mashoma anotevera uye, zvichienderana nemamwe fungidziro, kunogona kusvika mabhiriyoni gumi nemana emadhora muna 2026, izvo zvinovamanikidza kuti varambe vachiunganidza mari nguva dzose.
Muenzaniso webhizinesi usingasanganisire nhamba dzacho
Chiri shure kwekunetseka nezvezuva ra2027 pane nyaya huru: Maitiro ebhizinesi ekugadzira AI haasati aratidza kuti akasimba kune avo vanogadzira mamodheru epamusoro-soro. Panyaya yeOpenAI, kusaenzana pakati pemitengo nemari inowanikwa kunonyanya kushamisa.
Inofungidzirwa kuti ChatGPT inodarika mamiriyoni 800 evashandisi vanoshanda vhiki rega reganhamba yakakura kune chero sevhisi yedhijitari. Asi yevanhu ivavo, vakakomberedza 95% vanenge vachishandisa vhezheni yemahara yechatbot. Izvi zvinoreva kuti chikamu chidiki chete chinobhadhara kunyoreswa kwemwedzi wega wega kana kwebhizinesi kunobatsira kuchengetedza zvivakwa.
Mhedzisiro yacho ndeyekuti Mari inowanikwa kubva mukunyorera uye marezenisi haina kukwana, parizvino, kubhadhara mutengo chaiwo Kudzidzisa, kushandisa, uye kuchengetedza mamodheru. Kutaurirana kwega kwega, hurukuro yega yega, uye mubvunzo wega wega zvinoshandura simba remakombiyuta, uye nekudaro mari inobuda mumari. Kana ikawanziridzwa nemazana emamiriyoni evashandisi, bhiri iri rinokwira zvakanyanya.
Uyewo, OpenAI haina "cushion" yebhizinesi yechinyakare. Makambani akaita seMicrosoft, Google, kana Meta, ayo anotsigira mari yekudyara kwavo AI nemari inobva kuma operating systems, kushambadza, mahofisi, uye social media, anotarisana nekuvimba uku nekubudirira kweAI mune zvehupfumi, nokudaro zvichiita kuti nzvimbo yavo yekufambisa zvinhu ive shoma.
Nyanzvi dzakawanda dzakaratidza dambudziko iri. Nyanzvi yezvehupfumi yakati wandei. Sebastian Mallaby, weDare rezvekudyidzana nedzimwe nyikaAkataura kuti, kunyange hazvo OpenAI yakawana mari yakawanda, kubudirira kwayo kwetekinoroji hakuna kuita kuti pave nepurofiti inobatika. Mukufunga kwake, kambani iyi yakawana mari yakawanda. Ndingabhadhara chikamu chacho ndiine tariro uye mitengo yakanaka kwazvopane kuti pave nemigumisiro yakanaka mune zveupfumi.
Rusvingo rwenzvimbo dzedata uye mari "yakakura" yekudyara
Dambudziko harisi rekungoshandisa zvisina kunaka chete, asi kune chimwe chinhu chakadzama: Indasitiri yese yeAI iri kudonha ichienzaniswa nemiganhu yezvivakwaZvinoda zvinopfuura mazano akanaka uye maalgorithms; zvinoda matura azere nemasevha, magetsi akawanda, uye machipisi ari kudiwa zvakanyanya nhasi.
Makambani ekupa mazano akadai se Bain & Kambani Vave vachinyevera kwenguva yakati nezvemusiyano mukuru uripo pakati pekudiwa kweAI computing uye kugona kwenzvimbo dzedata. Ongororo yavo inotaura nezvechokwadi. "gomba dema" remazana emabhiriyoni emadhora mari iyoyo yaizodiwa kuti mukaha iwoyo uvharwe, chimwe chinhu chisingakwanise kubhadharwa nemakambani mazhinji muchikamu ichi asina kupinda muchikwereti kana kudzikiswa.
Zvichakadaro, Sam Altman pachake akataura nhamba dzinoshamisa. Mishumo yakasiyana-siyana, yakatorwa nevezvenhau vepasi rose, inoratidza kuti OpenAI nevamwe vayo vari kufunga nezvekudyara mari inosvika $1,4 trillion (matiriyoni, kureva mamiriyoni nemamiriyoni) munzvimbo dzedata uye semiconductors mumakore anotevera. Chinangwa ndechekuona kuti pane kugona kwakakwana kudzidzisa mamodheru makuru uye kushandira zvikumbiro pasi rose.
Mutengo wemujaho uyu unoonekwawo mumusika wemidziyo yemagetsi. Makambani akaita seaya Mari inowanikwa neNVIDIA yakakwira zvakanyanya Vachitengesa maGPU nemhinduro dzeAI, vanoshandisa chido chisingagutsikani chekushandisa simba remakombiyuta. Kune avo vanotenga michina iyi, mhedzisiro yacho yakasiyana zvachose: Account yepurofiti nekurasikirwa inozadzwa nemari inoshandiswa pakuvaka. izvo zvinongopora chete kana bhizinesi reAI rikatanga kushanda zvechokwadi.
Saka, dambudziko riripo kuOpenAI (nechikamu chikuru chebazi iri) rakajeka: vanogona kuita kuti AI ive sosi yemari yakagadzikana uye inofungidzirwa munguva pfupi, kana kuti mutoro wekudyara mari ungaguma usingachagonekiNdosaka ongororo dzakawanda dzichitarisa kuti gore ra2027 ndiro nguva inokosha yekuona kana modhi yacho ichishanda kana kuti kwete.
Bubble, "hype" uye gomba rakakurumbira remabhiriyoni mazana masere
Kushomeka kwemari yeOpenAI muna 2027 chikamu chehurukuro huru: Ko purofiti yehungwaru hwekugadzira yakakwidziridzwa zvakanyanya munguva pfupi here? Manzwiro evanhu vazhinji ndeekuti chikamu chikuru che tekinoroji chakatorwa mwoyo nepfungwa huru nezvipikirwa, pasina mari inowanikwa inoenderana nekudyara mari.
Kare 2025, Bain & Company yakataura nezve "gomba dema" rinosvika mabhiriyoni mazana masere emadhora ($800.000 bhiriyoni). Muhurongwa hweAI, iyi inzira yekutsanangura musiyano uripo pakati pemari inodururwa mumapurojekiti ehungwaru hwekugadzira uye purofiti chaiyo iri kuwanikwa. Mukaha uyu unowedzera kutya kuti panogona kuva nebubble.
Vanoongorora misika, mari yekudyara, uye makambani anopa mazano vanobvumirana kuti Hazvisi zvese zvinobhejera paAI zvicharamba zviripoPachava nevachakunda, makambani achazokwanisa kubatanidza zvigadzirwa zvakakosha uye mabhizinesi anoenderera mberi, asi pachavawo nemakambani matsva nemapurojekiti asingashande zvakanaka. OpenAI, pasinei nehukuru hwayo uye kuoneka kwayo, haina njodzi iyoyo.
Munyaya iyi, mubvunzo ndewokuti kufarira kuripo parizvino kunotsigirwa here nemari chaiyo inogona kuwanikwa. Vamwe vanoti, munguva yepakati nerefu, AI ichave chinhu chakakosha muhupfumi hwedhijitari Uye zvichazopedzisira zvaita mari yakawanda kupfuura yazvinodhura. Asi kusvika ramangwana iroro rasvika, mhedzisiro yekota yega yega ichiri kutonga, uye makambani anofanirwa kuratidza kune vanoisa mari kuti mari yacho haisi kungoenda kuvashandi vatsva chete.
Mishumo chaiyo inoisa OpenAI munzvimbo isina kugadzikana inobvuma kuti, kana chikamu ichi chikapona chikamu ichi chekutanga chekushandisa mari zvine hutsinye, Indasitiri iyi inogona kuguma yava munzvimbo ine hutano hwakanakaMubvunzo ndewokuti ndiani anopona kusvika padanho iroro rekuenzana uye kuti imarii inofanira kuderedzwa kana kukweretwa kusvika panguva iyoyo.
Ita mari paChatGPT pasina kukanganisa kuvimba kwevashandisi
Kuti mari yekudyara isapere, OpenAI haingovimbi nekudyara mari itsva chete; Inofanirawo kushandisa zviri nani vashandisi vayoKambani iyi iri kuyedza nzira dzakasiyana dzekuwana mari yakawanda kubva kuChatGPT pasina kudzinga vashandisi vayo vezuva nezuva.
Kuwedzera kune zvirongwa zvekubhadhara zvevanhu nemakambani, chimwe chezvikumbiro zvakaiswa patafura ndeche wedzera kushambadza kune vhezheni yemahara yeChatGPTPfungwa iyi, iyo kambani pachayo yanga ichitsanangura muzvinyorwa zvenhau uye bvunzo shoma, inosanganisira kuratidza kushambadzira kune vashandisi vehurongwa hwemahara kana mazinga ekutanga, nepo kunyoreswa kwePlus, Pro, Business kana Enterprise kuchizoramba kusina kushambadzira.
Kuchinja uku kune musoro kana tichitarisa zvemari—mamiriyoni evanhu vanoshandisa mahara vanomiririra mukana wekushambadzira—asi kunouya nenjodzi dzakawanda. Muchokwadi, Chatbot haisi injini yekutsvaga yechinyakare.Mushandisi haangoverengi runyorwa rwemalink chete; anoisa chikamu chepfungwa dzake kumhinduro yakagadzirwa. Chero kukurudzira kwekutengeserana kusina kurongeka kunogona kukanganisa kuvimbana.
Ndosaka OpenAI ichisimbirira kuti Kushambadza hakufanirwe kukanganisa zviri mukati memhinduro.asi kuti zvizviratidze nenzira yakasiyana zvakajeka. Kunyangwe zvakadaro, manzwi mazhinji muchikamu ichi anotya kuti, kana mari ikasainwa zvakanyanya, maonero ekusava nedivi rakaenzana kwechishandiso ichi anogona kukuvara, chaipo apo rusaruro nekujeka muAI zviri kukurukurwa zvakanyanya.
Kunze kwezviziviso, kambani iri kushandawo pa mamodheru anoshanda zvakanyanya uye anogona kukurainokwanisa kupa mhinduro dzakanaka pasina kushandisa zviwanikwa zvakawanda. Izvi zvinosanganisira kugadzirisa fungidziro, kushandisa machipisi akachipa uye akatsaurirwa kwenguva refu, kushandisa mamodheru madiki pamabasa ari nyore, uye kushandisa nzira dzekuchengetedza ruzivo kuti usaverengezve ruzivo rumwe chete kakawanda. Kuderedza mutengo pakutaurirana, panguva ino, kwakakosha sekukwezva vatengi vatsva.
Zvibvumirano zvehurongwa, Europe uye basa revadyidzani vakuru
Tichifunga nezvegore ra2027, OpenAI iri kuita matanho ekuchengetedza nzira dzakagadzikana dzekuwana mari uye rutsigiroImwe nzira ndeyekupedzisa zvibvumirano nemakambani makuru nevanoshanda vanosanganisa ChatGPT mumasevhisi avo, nokudaro vachiwedzera mukana wekuwana vatengi uye kugadzira mari inofambiswa zvakanaka.
Mienzaniso yakajeka yatoonekwa muEurope. Movistar yakasaina chibvumirano neOpenAI chekupa vatengi vayo ChatGPT yemwedzi mitanhatu yemaharaMaitiro aya anobvumira mushandisi kusiyanisa mapakeji ake uye, panguva imwe chete, anowedzera kuvapo kwechishandiso ichi mumusika weSpain. Kunyangwe chingaratidzika se "chisingabhadharwi" kumushandisi wekupedzisira, kazhinji pane mari yekubhadhara kana zvibvumirano zvebhizinesi zviri shure kwacho zvinobatsira kubhadhara zvivakwa.
Marudzi aya ekubatana anonyanya kukosha mumamiriro ezvinhu eEurope, uko Hurongwa hwemitemo yehungwaru hwekugadzira hwakaoma zvikuru kupfuura mune dzimwe nzvimbo. Mutemo weEuropean Union unonzi AI Act, uyo unotsvaga kugadza mitemo pamusoro pekujeka, kuchengetedzeka uye kushandiswa zvine hungwaru kweAI, unomanikidza makambani akaita seOpenAI kuti achinje mamodheru avo nemaitiro avo, zvichiwedzera imwe nhanho yemitengo uye tambo.
Panguva imwe chete, EU iri kukurudzira mari yeruzhinji nemapurogiramu ekuvandudza hunyanzvi hwayo hweAI mukondinendi, izvo zvinogona kushandura mikana mitsva yekushandira pamwe kumakambani anopa tekinoroji yepamusoro. Kune OpenAI, Kuzvipa mukana wekushanda pamwe chete nehunyanzvi hwetekinoroji muEurope kungave chinhu chakakosha. kana uchida kuramba uripo mumusika mukuru uye wakadzikama.
Zvisinei, makwikwi haasi kumira asina chaanoita. Mamodheru akaita se Google Gemini, Anthropic Claude, kana mazano kubva kuvatambi vekuAsia vakaita seDeepSeek Vari kutsvagawo kuzvisimudzira mumakambani ekuEurope, muhurumende, uye mumakambani makuru ekutaurirana. Muhondo iyi yezvibvumirano, hutano hwemari hwemupi wega wega weAI huchava chinhu icho vatengi nevanotengesa mari vachanyatsoongorora.
Mufananidzo uyu wese unopa mufananidzo wakaoma kunzwisisa: OpenAI inotungamira fungidziro yekubatana kweAI yekugadzira, asi inofambira mberi pasi pemari inotsvedzaPakati pekushandisa mari yakawanda padata centers, modhi yebhizinesi isingakwanise kubhadhara mari yese, uye mukana wekuti zvinhu zviwedzere kudhura muchikamu ichi, 2027 yave mhando yekuyedza kambani. Zvinoitika mumakore anotevera - mashandisirwo anoita ChatGPT mari, zvibvumirano zvainokwanisa kuvhara, uye kuti indasitiri inokwanisa sei kuenzanisa mari nemari - zvichasarudza kana hofori yeAI ichisimbisa chinzvimbo chayo kana kuti shanduko yayo inopera nguva isati yakwana.